Good morning to punters everywhere
A magnificent program set down for Rosehill Gardens this afternoon, unfortunately marred by plenty of rain throughout the week causing the track surface to be officially heavy. There are several really exciting races, the clash of Hot Danish & Forensics in the Queen Of The Turf, the return of Racing To Win, a quality line up in the George Ryder Stakes, aling with the best BMW field the STC could have hoped for. An afternoon for all racing fans to sit back and enjoy the spectacle.
Track conditions will be all important, jockeys will have to find the best going, and the track will no doubt deteriorate as the day progresses. Punters should watch proceedings closely, work out where the best going is, where the winners are coming from, and ascertain which barrier positions are advataged before having a bet.
The Golden Slipper is usually a lottery, this year is no exception, accentuated by the heavy track. Generally barrier draws decide the result, however with the rain affected track, this may not be the case this year if the horses are scouting wider looking for firming footing. Normally, we would immediately discount favourites Real Saga & More Joyous because of their poor barriers, horses simply don't win from double figure barriers from the awful 1200m start point at Rosehill. However if the ground is better off the fence, then both have the undeniable winning chances. Fillies again should dominate with the 2kg advantage over the colts & geldings, which, although reduced by 0.5kg these days is still not enough to make an even playing field. If the Rostova that won the Sires Produce at Flemington a month ago shows up at Rosehill today, then she can win this race. She has been the class filly all season, only blemishing her copy book in the Blue Diamond. At the odds, she is great each way value. There is a good roughie in the race we must mention, although drawn perfectly, the barrier may hinder Indian Ocean's chances. Her effort to win last week was amazing to say the least, after sitting 4 & 5 wide throughout, she had the audacity to fight hard down the straight and win. Horses just don't sit wide in the 1200m races and win at Rosehill, her performance was outstanding, a repeat will see her right in the finish this afternoon @ $25 plus. Tough race as always, best of luck if you are having a punt on the Slipper, we'll watch with interest. For the record, we'll go for value and tip a fillies trifecta with Indian Ocean to beat Rostova, More Joyous & Real Saga.
It is very difficult for us to encourage anyone to have a bet at Rosehill today unless there is a major upgrade in track conditions. However, Faulconbridge appears in the first event with fresh use of the track whch should be an assistance. He has won on slow going, is now looking for the 2000m and does have a class edge on his rivals. If you are going to have a bet today at Rosehill, he's probably the one to make some money on.
Some excellent Group racing at both Morphettville & Ascot to support Rosehill today, along with a strong program at Caulfield. Plenty of rain yesterday around Melbourne however most seems to have missed The Heath with only a dead track rating there. In race 7, the Danny O'Brien trained Villain has an excellent each way chance. He has had one run back from a spell which saw him have little luck in running to finish only 3 lengths from the smart Pinnacles. Villain's career has been marred by injury and bad luck, so with better fortune on his side this preparation there are a few wins in him. He has finished close up behind some smart horses throughout his career and deserves a change of luck. Today might be his day against an ordinary lot with Stephen Baster to steer.
At Ascot we see the the Mighty Marasco racing to find another win to add to his imposing record. He has only 6 opponents over the 1800m to contend with and he should be too strong for them.
The best bet of the day appears in race 4 @ Ascot in the very smart Dante's Volonte. However he is going to be odds on, so we can't make him the special. He has a pretty smart field to overcome today with Megatic, Hadebeclorka & the consistent 6yo mare Calico Blue in the event. However he showed first up from a let up he doesn't have to lead, that he can sit off the pace and still win easily. He onlt has to produce another of his trade mark sub 1:10 runs at Ascot and his opponents won't get near him. Dante's Volonte is the best bet around the country this afternoon.
Good luck and profitable punting to all.
A magnificent program set down for Rosehill Gardens this afternoon, unfortunately marred by plenty of rain throughout the week causing the track surface to be officially heavy. There are several really exciting races, the clash of Hot Danish & Forensics in the Queen Of The Turf, the return of Racing To Win, a quality line up in the George Ryder Stakes, aling with the best BMW field the STC could have hoped for. An afternoon for all racing fans to sit back and enjoy the spectacle.
Track conditions will be all important, jockeys will have to find the best going, and the track will no doubt deteriorate as the day progresses. Punters should watch proceedings closely, work out where the best going is, where the winners are coming from, and ascertain which barrier positions are advataged before having a bet.
The Golden Slipper is usually a lottery, this year is no exception, accentuated by the heavy track. Generally barrier draws decide the result, however with the rain affected track, this may not be the case this year if the horses are scouting wider looking for firming footing. Normally, we would immediately discount favourites Real Saga & More Joyous because of their poor barriers, horses simply don't win from double figure barriers from the awful 1200m start point at Rosehill. However if the ground is better off the fence, then both have the undeniable winning chances. Fillies again should dominate with the 2kg advantage over the colts & geldings, which, although reduced by 0.5kg these days is still not enough to make an even playing field. If the Rostova that won the Sires Produce at Flemington a month ago shows up at Rosehill today, then she can win this race. She has been the class filly all season, only blemishing her copy book in the Blue Diamond. At the odds, she is great each way value. There is a good roughie in the race we must mention, although drawn perfectly, the barrier may hinder Indian Ocean's chances. Her effort to win last week was amazing to say the least, after sitting 4 & 5 wide throughout, she had the audacity to fight hard down the straight and win. Horses just don't sit wide in the 1200m races and win at Rosehill, her performance was outstanding, a repeat will see her right in the finish this afternoon @ $25 plus. Tough race as always, best of luck if you are having a punt on the Slipper, we'll watch with interest. For the record, we'll go for value and tip a fillies trifecta with Indian Ocean to beat Rostova, More Joyous & Real Saga.
It is very difficult for us to encourage anyone to have a bet at Rosehill today unless there is a major upgrade in track conditions. However, Faulconbridge appears in the first event with fresh use of the track whch should be an assistance. He has won on slow going, is now looking for the 2000m and does have a class edge on his rivals. If you are going to have a bet today at Rosehill, he's probably the one to make some money on.
Some excellent Group racing at both Morphettville & Ascot to support Rosehill today, along with a strong program at Caulfield. Plenty of rain yesterday around Melbourne however most seems to have missed The Heath with only a dead track rating there. In race 7, the Danny O'Brien trained Villain has an excellent each way chance. He has had one run back from a spell which saw him have little luck in running to finish only 3 lengths from the smart Pinnacles. Villain's career has been marred by injury and bad luck, so with better fortune on his side this preparation there are a few wins in him. He has finished close up behind some smart horses throughout his career and deserves a change of luck. Today might be his day against an ordinary lot with Stephen Baster to steer.
At Ascot we see the the Mighty Marasco racing to find another win to add to his imposing record. He has only 6 opponents over the 1800m to contend with and he should be too strong for them.
The best bet of the day appears in race 4 @ Ascot in the very smart Dante's Volonte. However he is going to be odds on, so we can't make him the special. He has a pretty smart field to overcome today with Megatic, Hadebeclorka & the consistent 6yo mare Calico Blue in the event. However he showed first up from a let up he doesn't have to lead, that he can sit off the pace and still win easily. He onlt has to produce another of his trade mark sub 1:10 runs at Ascot and his opponents won't get near him. Dante's Volonte is the best bet around the country this afternoon.
Good luck and profitable punting to all.
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