Monday, October 15, 2007

Caulfield Guineas Day

What a terrific days racing at Caulfield on Saturday. Despite the non appearance of most NSW and Queensland horses all races were very competitive and it hard to see any northern horse making too much difference to any of the results. The track played perfectly, every horse appeared to have their chance with little or no bias to inside or outside which is exactly what every punters wants on big race days.

PASS members were treated to a day out with 3 winners from only 4 selections on Saturday. Our horse to follow and Bet Of the Day was Master O'Reilly who earnt himself a start in the Caulfield Cup by winning the Herbert Power Handicap over 2400m. His win was a good solid effort with impressive previous weeks Flemington winner Dolphin Jo left floundering in the Master's wake. Master O'Reilly opened at around the $2.30 mark however was heavily supported to start odds on at $1.90. He's in the Caulfield and Melbourne Cups with a very light weight and at the $11 currently on offer with fixed odds bookies, is great each way value for this Saturday's Caulfield Cup.

PASS members were told in our email on Saturday morning that Weekend Hustler was a living certainty and only bad luck would beat him. Maybe this was an easily predictable result however bookies bet black figure odds on Saturday afternoon and that indeed was a luxury for any race track certainty. We averaged better than $2 for him which is an amazing price considering he was $1.70 with fixed odds bookies for most of the week. Hopefully they put him away now and bring him back after a maturing spell and set him for the Australian Guineas in March.

The best selection for our members came without doubt in the Caulfield Stakes. We wrote in our email that Miss Finland was the "lay of the year" after her ordinary performance in the Underwood Stakes two weeks earlier. She plodded to the line yet again on Saturday and she cannot win the Cox Plate on that effort. It was a far better Melbourne Cup trial than one for the Cox Plate, however it is difficult to imagine she will have enough "miles" in her legs to be a serious contender on the first Tuesday in November. Our third special was nominated in this race and Maldivian didn't let our followers down. He showed he didn't have to lead, sitting outside Rubiscent before careering away at the top of the straight to a commanding lead. Jockey Michael Rodd eased him down close to the post as he was holding his rivals, leaving a little bit in reserve for this Saturday's Caulfield Cup. Dropping 7.5kg, he is a serious Cup contender and will be very hard to beat. The $3.20 on offer at present looks luxurious considering his form, and only a bad barrier will beat him on Saturday.

Our 4th and final selection finished a narrow second at the final Belmont meeting for their season. However, despite protesting against the winner, El Presidente had to settle for the runners up tag. He will atone for this defeat next time he starts as that was only his second run back from a spell and he will strip much fitter for the run. He had difficulty getting clear at the top of the straight, hampered by the eventual winner, before finally getting clear and striding to the front. The tough run told in the final 50 metres and Glory Hunter nailed him right on the line. Follow, El Presidente, he'll win plenty over the summer months at Ascot.

So 3 winners from 4 selections with a close second, with PASS also providing the winners of the first 3 legs of the Melbourne quadrella on Saturday. One lucky member snagged that quaddie multiple times thanks to the PASS selections.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

profselections@austarnet.com.au

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