A Trap For Young Players

What a magnificent start to the new punting season for all our followers here at PASS.

Our first three selections of the season have all saluted, Queen And Country ($7.00) Father Dex ($1.90) and Kid's Show ($3.70) healthily lining all our pockets with plenty of cash. On Saturday, our members were also privileged with mail that Apache Cat was absolutely flying giving him a great chance to upset boom horse Haradasun in the Bletchingly Stakes. The cat won comfortably assisting one member to snag the Melbourne quaddie. Lots more winners coming , especially with the tracks becoming drier along with the better horses reurning for the Spring.

Now, there is a significant anomoly in form that occurs this time every year that most punters either do not know about or choose to ignore it. Most horses when they race as 2yos, restrict their racing to their own age group with most clubs scheduling at least one 2yo race per week. However, as from August 1, these horses are now 3yo, meaning fewer opportunities for races restricted to their own age group. What we find happening at this time of the year is simple. A 2yo wins a race restricted to his own age in late July, however after 1 August he is now considered a 3yo therefore having race against older, more mature and seasoned opponents. Most of these recently turned 3yos, are not really 3yo at all, those being born in October, November or Decenber, are not really 3yo until their original foaling dates arrives on the calendar.

These newly turned 3yos are at a huge disadvantage against 4, 5 and 6yos maturity and size wise thus will always have difficulty beating them in a race. There are always a few exceptions to every rule, and if Sunline reincarnated is running around as a newly turned 3yo filly, then she would defeat anything she runs against. However, there are not too many reincarnated Sunlines or Lonhro's around at this time.

So please be very careful when assessing form. recently turned 3yos are at a distinct disadvantage when racing against open age, more seasoned gallopers. If a horse won a 2yo restricted race late in July, then turns up against open aged horses at their next assignment, odds are they will come up very short in the market, meaning they are way under the odds.

There has been two clear examples of this happening in the past 5 days. A 3yo filly named Le Jeune Fille started a $2.50 favourite in an open fillies and mares Class 1 at Hawkesbury on Thursday. She was beaten into second place by our winning PASS selection, Queen And Country. Then, at Gunnedah on Friday in the last race, a restricted 2yo winner from July, was again sent out a short priced favourite when racing against the older horses for the first time, missing a place.

These form lines will continue for at least three months, possibly until the new year, so please be particularly adroit to avoid these runners. In fact, they are generally good risks as very few will beat the older horses.

If you would like to join the winning team here at PASS, then please send us an email profeselections@austarnet.com.au so we can inform you how to obtain our services.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.