Friday, January 26, 2007

Australia Day

Our selection service is merrily rolling along providing plenty of winners for our members. We have made 62 selections so far, for 30 winners, a current winning strike rate of 48.39%. The average winning price is $2.61 giving us an profit on investment at level stakes of 26.30%.

Now, although these statistics look most impressive, our aim here is to provde a winning strike rate of over 50%. Some may think this is pie in the sky stuff, but it is what we achieve each and every punting year, since we started keeping records 12 years ago. So our socks are well and truely pulled up now, and more winners will start to flow.

One most interesting statistic that we have not covered as yet, is the record of our losing selections, at their subsequent runs. There has been 21 losing selection that have raced again after being given to our members. Of these 10 have won, a winning strike rate of 47.6 %. One of these horses, Destina, has in fact won 3 times since she was selected here, climaxing in a win last night at Moonee Valley paying over $10 on the tote. Other notable winners have been Bright Encounter ($4.25), Our Nefertit ($10), Test Fire, Amici Forever & Lu Court.

Now, why would this be such a valuable statistic, and why are so many winning? The selections we provide are always horses who are fit and in form. Most of the selections that lose, fail due to an incident in running in the race, a poorly judged ride, or some extenuating circumstance unforseen prior to the race. Therefore, plenty of the losing selections will peform as well, or even improve at their next starts. Of course there are a few beaten on their merits, and these are the ones that don't go in to win after we selected them. However, if you can attain, a winning strike rate of over 47%, then this is a statistic of which you should take heed.

There have been a couple of horses in recent weeks, that were desparately unlucky when selected here. And as yet, they have not raced since. These include Masai Pride & Boy John, so these two should be considered at their next outing. There is also a South Australian horse named Fancy Force, who was a tragedy beaten at Penola the day selected here. He has had one run since, but that was at Mt Gambier on a heavy track (his first try on a rain affected track) and he ran a creditbale second. A win for Fancy Force is very close indeed.

So if you are still having trouble finding a winner, then maybe you could do worse than to follow our losing tips at their next starts. Where else can you obtain a winning strike rate of over 47%, for free.

Have a great Australia Day everyone. Enjoy it the best way you know how. We have a good thing today given out to all our members, if you would like to know which horse it is, pelase contact us on profselections@austarnet.com.au and we will organise to forward it to you.

In the mean time, good luck and profitable punting to all.

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