PASS members were celebrating heartily on Australia Day after Incentate saluted in the time honoured Hanging Rock Cup. This race is held every Australia Day and crowds flock to the small Victorian town of Hanging Rock for their big day of the year. Unfortunately, the 2007 version had to be transferred to Kyneton due to the drought and the recent bushfires, but this had no effect on attracting a huge attendance.
Apprentice Logan McGill rode a beautifully judged race on Incentate, allowing the gelding to settle well back in the field after a hot pace was set in the early stages. McGill then showed judgement well beyond his years by timing his run to perfection, and while the favourite Cape Danger hit the front at the top of the straight, he had no answer for the powerful finshing burst of Incentate. Incentate was heavily supported on course, firming from $12 into $8, and paid a $7.50 top tote around Australia.
Incentate was exclusively selected as the best of the day to PASS members on Australia Day. Members were also informed that likely favourite Cape Danger, would flounder in the closing stages of the 1850m race and was a good risk.
In our last article, we alluded to our losing selections being horses to follow at their subsequent runs. Yesterday at Rosehill, The Jackal, who was selected at his previous run, blew his rivals away in the last race paying over $4 for the win on all totes. He was not well ridden the day we were on him, and the run should have been overlooked. He made amends yesterday.
Plenty more winners to look forward this week, and we have already informed our members of the good thing of the day today. If you would like to become a member and receive selections such as Incentate exclusively, please contact us at profselections@austarnet.com.au
Good luck and profitable punting to all.
Sunday, January 28, 2007
Friday, January 26, 2007
Australia Day
Our selection service is merrily rolling along providing plenty of winners for our members. We have made 62 selections so far, for 30 winners, a current winning strike rate of 48.39%. The average winning price is $2.61 giving us an profit on investment at level stakes of 26.30%.
Now, although these statistics look most impressive, our aim here is to provde a winning strike rate of over 50%. Some may think this is pie in the sky stuff, but it is what we achieve each and every punting year, since we started keeping records 12 years ago. So our socks are well and truely pulled up now, and more winners will start to flow.
One most interesting statistic that we have not covered as yet, is the record of our losing selections, at their subsequent runs. There has been 21 losing selection that have raced again after being given to our members. Of these 10 have won, a winning strike rate of 47.6 %. One of these horses, Destina, has in fact won 3 times since she was selected here, climaxing in a win last night at Moonee Valley paying over $10 on the tote. Other notable winners have been Bright Encounter ($4.25), Our Nefertit ($10), Test Fire, Amici Forever & Lu Court.
Now, why would this be such a valuable statistic, and why are so many winning? The selections we provide are always horses who are fit and in form. Most of the selections that lose, fail due to an incident in running in the race, a poorly judged ride, or some extenuating circumstance unforseen prior to the race. Therefore, plenty of the losing selections will peform as well, or even improve at their next starts. Of course there are a few beaten on their merits, and these are the ones that don't go in to win after we selected them. However, if you can attain, a winning strike rate of over 47%, then this is a statistic of which you should take heed.
There have been a couple of horses in recent weeks, that were desparately unlucky when selected here. And as yet, they have not raced since. These include Masai Pride & Boy John, so these two should be considered at their next outing. There is also a South Australian horse named Fancy Force, who was a tragedy beaten at Penola the day selected here. He has had one run since, but that was at Mt Gambier on a heavy track (his first try on a rain affected track) and he ran a creditbale second. A win for Fancy Force is very close indeed.
So if you are still having trouble finding a winner, then maybe you could do worse than to follow our losing tips at their next starts. Where else can you obtain a winning strike rate of over 47%, for free.
Have a great Australia Day everyone. Enjoy it the best way you know how. We have a good thing today given out to all our members, if you would like to know which horse it is, pelase contact us on profselections@austarnet.com.au and we will organise to forward it to you.
In the mean time, good luck and profitable punting to all.
Now, although these statistics look most impressive, our aim here is to provde a winning strike rate of over 50%. Some may think this is pie in the sky stuff, but it is what we achieve each and every punting year, since we started keeping records 12 years ago. So our socks are well and truely pulled up now, and more winners will start to flow.
One most interesting statistic that we have not covered as yet, is the record of our losing selections, at their subsequent runs. There has been 21 losing selection that have raced again after being given to our members. Of these 10 have won, a winning strike rate of 47.6 %. One of these horses, Destina, has in fact won 3 times since she was selected here, climaxing in a win last night at Moonee Valley paying over $10 on the tote. Other notable winners have been Bright Encounter ($4.25), Our Nefertit ($10), Test Fire, Amici Forever & Lu Court.
Now, why would this be such a valuable statistic, and why are so many winning? The selections we provide are always horses who are fit and in form. Most of the selections that lose, fail due to an incident in running in the race, a poorly judged ride, or some extenuating circumstance unforseen prior to the race. Therefore, plenty of the losing selections will peform as well, or even improve at their next starts. Of course there are a few beaten on their merits, and these are the ones that don't go in to win after we selected them. However, if you can attain, a winning strike rate of over 47%, then this is a statistic of which you should take heed.
There have been a couple of horses in recent weeks, that were desparately unlucky when selected here. And as yet, they have not raced since. These include Masai Pride & Boy John, so these two should be considered at their next outing. There is also a South Australian horse named Fancy Force, who was a tragedy beaten at Penola the day selected here. He has had one run since, but that was at Mt Gambier on a heavy track (his first try on a rain affected track) and he ran a creditbale second. A win for Fancy Force is very close indeed.
So if you are still having trouble finding a winner, then maybe you could do worse than to follow our losing tips at their next starts. Where else can you obtain a winning strike rate of over 47%, for free.
Have a great Australia Day everyone. Enjoy it the best way you know how. We have a good thing today given out to all our members, if you would like to know which horse it is, pelase contact us on profselections@austarnet.com.au and we will organise to forward it to you.
In the mean time, good luck and profitable punting to all.
Wednesday, January 3, 2007
2007 - A New Year
Happy New Year to all our readers. We trust everyone had an enjoyable and festive Christmas and New Year.
We were lucky enough to provide our members with two New Years Day presents, when both Publishing and West River Charley won on Monday. These winners take our statistics to 23 winners from a total of 45 selections since we commenced. Running with an average winning price of $2.61, gives our members a profit at level stakes of 33.40%. And there are plenty more winner to be found in 2007.
Do you make New Years resolutions? Although far from perfect, a New Years resolution is not something we generally contemplate. Mainly because it is very easy to make a resolution, and keep it going for a short period of time. However in the long term, old habits usually win over and things return to where they were before January 1. How many times have we sworn to give up smoking, give up chocolates, stop swearing, or give up the grog as our New Years resolution. Doesn't work, does it? Far easier to try to cut down gradually, than remove a major chunk of our life instantaneously.
The best way to make a New Years resolution work, is to make one that doesn't require a huge lifestyle change, like giving up smoking. Something small like, emptying the rubbish bin every morning. Or ringing your brother or sister once a month. Simple, small things are far easier to change and adapt to than a huge lifestyle change like giving up drinking.
And what about your punting? What really irks you about your punting that you could include in a New Years resolution. Keep stringent records of every bet? Use a staking plan instead of betting wild and woolly amounts on different bets? Don't back favourites that start shorter than even money. Seriously, how difficult would it be to apply any of those to your punting?
How about some of these.
Don't back horses first up from a spell, unless they are double figure odds. Why, because only 1 in 9 horses first up from a spell will win, so you must ensure you are getting the correct value for your money.
Don't back horses who start from a barrier outside the centre of the field. That is, if there are 12 horses in the race, don't back a horse drawn outside barrier 6. Why, because barriers are the single biggest influence on a horse race in this day and age, and the majority of winners start from inside barriers. We will explain this further in a future article.
Don't back maiden winners jumping to a Class 2 race or better. They can win, but their winning strike rate is worse than 1 in 10, so again you must ensure you get the right odds.
Don't bet in maidens, especially if there is a lot of first starters or horses first up from a spell.
Don't take more money to the pub on Saturday afternoon than you can afford to lose on the punt.
Do you have one? Is there something you do when punting, and when you do it the horse always loses? Write it down, and make it your New Years resolution not to do it in 2007. Keep a list if you like of the horses that fall into this category, and see how many actual win. Whatever it might be, keep it simple and achievable. I assure you, you will feel much better about your punting if you change something that gives you more money in your pocket.
Monitor what you do and record the results, and in 3 months time review it. Have you achieved what you set out to achieve? Was it successful? Can it be improved on?
We can all improve our punting and our results. It is just a matter of spending time to research our methods and finding the good things and bad things we do. Improve the good things, remove the bad things. And something as simple as that, could be your New Years resolution.
If you would like to become a member of our successful team, please contact us here at profselections@austarnet.com.au and we will assist you to join.
In the meantime, good luck and profitable punting to all.
We were lucky enough to provide our members with two New Years Day presents, when both Publishing and West River Charley won on Monday. These winners take our statistics to 23 winners from a total of 45 selections since we commenced. Running with an average winning price of $2.61, gives our members a profit at level stakes of 33.40%. And there are plenty more winner to be found in 2007.
Do you make New Years resolutions? Although far from perfect, a New Years resolution is not something we generally contemplate. Mainly because it is very easy to make a resolution, and keep it going for a short period of time. However in the long term, old habits usually win over and things return to where they were before January 1. How many times have we sworn to give up smoking, give up chocolates, stop swearing, or give up the grog as our New Years resolution. Doesn't work, does it? Far easier to try to cut down gradually, than remove a major chunk of our life instantaneously.
The best way to make a New Years resolution work, is to make one that doesn't require a huge lifestyle change, like giving up smoking. Something small like, emptying the rubbish bin every morning. Or ringing your brother or sister once a month. Simple, small things are far easier to change and adapt to than a huge lifestyle change like giving up drinking.
And what about your punting? What really irks you about your punting that you could include in a New Years resolution. Keep stringent records of every bet? Use a staking plan instead of betting wild and woolly amounts on different bets? Don't back favourites that start shorter than even money. Seriously, how difficult would it be to apply any of those to your punting?
How about some of these.
Don't back horses first up from a spell, unless they are double figure odds. Why, because only 1 in 9 horses first up from a spell will win, so you must ensure you are getting the correct value for your money.
Don't back horses who start from a barrier outside the centre of the field. That is, if there are 12 horses in the race, don't back a horse drawn outside barrier 6. Why, because barriers are the single biggest influence on a horse race in this day and age, and the majority of winners start from inside barriers. We will explain this further in a future article.
Don't back maiden winners jumping to a Class 2 race or better. They can win, but their winning strike rate is worse than 1 in 10, so again you must ensure you get the right odds.
Don't bet in maidens, especially if there is a lot of first starters or horses first up from a spell.
Don't take more money to the pub on Saturday afternoon than you can afford to lose on the punt.
Do you have one? Is there something you do when punting, and when you do it the horse always loses? Write it down, and make it your New Years resolution not to do it in 2007. Keep a list if you like of the horses that fall into this category, and see how many actual win. Whatever it might be, keep it simple and achievable. I assure you, you will feel much better about your punting if you change something that gives you more money in your pocket.
Monitor what you do and record the results, and in 3 months time review it. Have you achieved what you set out to achieve? Was it successful? Can it be improved on?
We can all improve our punting and our results. It is just a matter of spending time to research our methods and finding the good things and bad things we do. Improve the good things, remove the bad things. And something as simple as that, could be your New Years resolution.
If you would like to become a member of our successful team, please contact us here at profselections@austarnet.com.au and we will assist you to join.
In the meantime, good luck and profitable punting to all.
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