Sunday, June 17, 2007

Beat The Storm

PASS members have certainly found a way to beat the winter storms in recent weeks in Perth. And it would be most inappropriate if we didn't give this bloke some recognition after the picket fence he has now notched up next to his name.

PASS members have been on this 4yo gelding at his past three starts at Belmont in WA and he certainly hasn't let us down.

Last Saturday Beat The Storm put up an astonishing performance to win over the 1400m at Belmont. Given a beautiful run on the fence by Willie Pike, Beat The Storm came to the home turn full of running just needed a clear opening to give what he had left, which was plenty. However, as the field straightened for the run home, Beat The Storm was hopelessly pocketed and Pike was deparately looking for an gap to push him through. The gelding was climbing all over the heels of the horses in front of him and the inevitable happened. He clipped the heels of one in front of him, went down on his nose, and all but fell to the turf and dislodged Pike. Somehow, miraculaously, Pike kept his feet in the irons, steadied Beat The Storm, saw a gap appear on the inside and surled the gelding through the gap. Not only was Beat The Storm able to regain his footing, but he dashed through the narrow opening and ran away to win the race by 1.8 lengths. Am amazing effort just to stay on his feet, let alone finish in the placings, let alone win so easily. Only a horse with exceptional ability could do what Beat The Storm did last Saturday. It was obvious more wins were in store for him.

Yesterday, Beat The Storm lined up in a Group 3 race for the first time, the time honoured Belmont Sprint. He had some very good opposition including several Group and Listed winners and he needed to be good to even be competitive. However after his outstanding win the week before, PASS members were again told Beat The Storm was a good thing. For some reason unknown to us, Willie Pike jumped off Beat The Storm to ride Is Amazing, a 1200m sprinter at best in our opinion, albeit a previous Group winner. Is Amazing led as predicted, however Beat The Storm, given a lovely ride by Patrick Carberry, ran home strongly in the straight to prove far too good and win narrowly but convincingly. He started at $4.80, and both Centre Racing and Sportingbet paid those odds on their top tote dividend. Super TAB paid best tote in Australia at $4.60, great didvidends considering the horse had won it's last three starts, and four of his previous five starts. He has now won four straight, all over 1400m at Belmont and is the most improved horse in WA.

PASS members have now been given eight winners from the last ten selections provided, and all have big smiles on their faces and very large bank balances.

A definite horse to follow after yesterday's racing is Pure Harmony who ran third in the last race at Morphettville. Every winner at Morphettville had come down the middle of the track and the fence had been off all day. However Amy Hermann in her wisdom, who had a bolting Pure Harmony underneath her at the home turn, decided for reasons unknown to us to angle the mare to the fence to make her run. Preditably, horses down the middle over ran Pure Harmony in the straight, however she finished a creditable third. Given an even racing surface and a good barrier draw, Pure Harmony will go very close to winning at her next start.

If you would like to become part of the all the winners here at PASS, then please contact us profselections@austarnet.com.au and we can organise for you to receive emails every day we provide information.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.

Friday, June 15, 2007

A quick update on the fortunes of our service and profits being made by our members.

Following a very dry run during the early part of May when we endured a 7 bet losing streak, PASS members have now returned to the winners circle. The last 7 selections have all won, with 8 from the last 9 all saluting the judge first. This just shows that our philosophy of patience and discipline will always win out in the end, no matter how severe the losing streak may be. It is just a matter of reducing your bets and your betting amounts until fortunes sway back in your favour, which they well and truly have now. The average winning price over the last 8 winners has reduced significantly to $2.26. However this is usual for the time of year as rain affected tracks abound, as do long priced upset winners. These are diffcult to predict so here at PASS we just try to find the good things.

Overall, we have given out 146 selections since we commenced, of which 67 have won, at an average winning price of a little over $2.60. Profit at level stakes is running at 18.8%, however using a more effective staking plan these profits can be considerably improved on.

Punting during the winter months is fraught with danger as our previous article indicated. However we found another trap for punters who wanted to bet on the Sale meeting in Victoria yesterday. The track was given out in the morning as a dead (4), indicating to most that it would be an ideal racing surface. However, despite the fact that no more rain fell on the track, it was apparent following the first race the track was far worse than a dead (4). In fact the track was subsequently downgraded twice during the afternoon, without a drop of rain falling, to a slow (7). It was obvious to any track watcher that the track was slow during the first race, and punters were mislead badly. The poor punters who placed their bets early expecting a close to good track were bitterly disappointed as swoopers, and mud larks, most at long prices, saluted the judge first all day long. It is hard enough to find a winner normally, let alone during the winter months. However to endure a situation that prevailed at Sale yesterday is totally unacceptable in this day an age and punters in 2007 deserve far better.

The only way for a punter to police such occurrences is to watch the first few races of every meeting before having a bet, to justify in your own mind what the true track conditions are like. It is understandable this is not always an option for some punters, especially during the week. Hopefully this situation does not occur ever again.

There will be a few track downgrades again today as there is rain around most venues for this afternoon. Be very careful with Grafton as it is already rated a dead (5) but more rain currently falling and a track downgrade looks a certainty.

If you would like to become a member of PASS and ewnjoy all the winners provided, please contact us here at profselections@austarnet.com.au Several of our members do not have any other bets on horse racing other than the selections we provide. They feel this is the only way they can win punting on horse racing. And they are enjoying their punting far more because they are backing winners and showing an overall profit.

Good luck and profitable punting to all.