Well, the Wodonga Cup panned out as we predicted, except for the result. Diamond Cove got a beuatiful run just off the speed, and Elbrus was trapped 3 and 4 wide from his bad draw. Luke Nolen rode a perfect race on Diamond Cove, getting the clear run coming to the turn and giving the mare every chance to win the race. However Elbrus made light of work of the 5kg in weight he was giving Diamond Cove, and despite the wide trip, was far too good at the finish to win narrowly but convincingly. A great effort by Elbrus to win the way he did, most other horses would have faded after the run he had, but not Elbrus, he just kept coming. A city win would not surprise in the future for him. They spaced the others, and I doubt much form other than Elbrus will come out of the race. We won't be tipping Diamond Cove again, she had the run to win, but was beaten by the best horse on the day.
Horses to follow from the weekend.
Glenbawn Star will win a race in the city after his dynamic performance in winning at Kembla on Saturday, much to the delight of PASS members.
Wings Of Seraph will go through his grades in Brisbane. He has won 3 from 7 now, with 4 minor placings, and there is a nice race during the Brisbane winter carnival with his name on it. He came from a long way back to win on Saturday, but once given clear running, he was always going to win. Keep following him, he will win plenty more.
Good luck & profitable punting.
Monday, November 27, 2006
Sunday, November 26, 2006
Punting Basics
As we progress along the course of finding some winners, we will publish some articles to assist our members to enjoy their punting even more.
Punting is a relaxing entertainment and is made enjoyable by winning money. It is not pure luck or guesswork like lotteries, $1 scratchie tickets, poker machines or the roulette wheel at the local casino. You can make it like that if you wish, but you have no earthly chance of wining in the long term if you do.
The first basic philosophy of punting, is to only bet what you can afford to lose.
If you have $100 to play with every week, then stand to lose that and no more. If you get a collect, or even come out in front, it is a bonus. Never borrow money to punt with, and never use credit cards to supplement punting accounts. Even if you lose your $100, you will feel much more at ease with the world as you have only lost what is affordable. I assure you if you borrow money and lose, or deposit another $100 from your credit card and lose that as well, you will feel extremely sick in the stomach. This will have an adverse impacy on other areas of your life like your family and work, which are far more important than your leisure time. Your leisure time is time for enjoyment, not angst. If you leisure time uspets you, then this will negatively affect your entire life.
If you have $100 to play with every week, then stand to lose that and no more. If you get a collect, or even come out in front, it is a bonus. Never borrow money to punt with, and never use credit cards to supplement punting accounts. Even if you lose your $100, you will feel much more at ease with the world as you have only lost what is affordable. I assure you if you borrow money and lose, or deposit another $100 from your credit card and lose that as well, you will feel extremely sick in the stomach. This will have an adverse impacy on other areas of your life like your family and work, which are far more important than your leisure time. Your leisure time is time for enjoyment, not angst. If you leisure time uspets you, then this will negatively affect your entire life.
I have seen a miriad of people ploughing money into poker machines. They are evil. You cannot win consistently on them, they will alwys take your money in the long term. Every time I walk into a Club, I see dozens of people sitting mindlessly staring at the reels roll around and around, putting more money through. I see them running backwards and forwards from the change counter, getting more money, running to the nearest ATM to extract extra funds and so on and so on until the bank is empty. Most clubs make their ATMs inaccessible to Credit Cards, and some people even leave the premises to find an ATM that does accept their credit card only to return to lose more money. Poker Machines are blight on our society. I cannot understand how some people find it enjoyable to lose money.
There is also your mate in the pub. You know the one, you see him every Saturday afternoon. Drunk as a skunk and stone broke. He has been drinking since midday, and lost his money on the horses. So he comes over to you and snips for a loan. "I'll repay on Thursday when I get paid, just call in here, and I'll give it back to you". Then off he goes to the bar, buys another beer and heads straight to the TAB to continue to lose.
Neither a borrower nor a lender be.
No one ever approaches me for a loan, because they know I won't give them one. Plenty have asked, and eventually they get embarrassed enough about getting knocked back, and eventually stop asking me, and go off and harrass some other poor sucker. These blokes are parasites, avoid them, they will get the message soon enough, and when they do, you will embrace a good friendship with them. Allow them to use you, and they will take advatage of you all the time.
No one ever approaches me for a loan, because they know I won't give them one. Plenty have asked, and eventually they get embarrassed enough about getting knocked back, and eventually stop asking me, and go off and harrass some other poor sucker. These blokes are parasites, avoid them, they will get the message soon enough, and when they do, you will embrace a good friendship with them. Allow them to use you, and they will take advatage of you all the time.
So, now you have your $100 to play with, you are not going to be bothered by others, and you are comfortable in the knowledge that if you can snag a collect from the $100, you can shout the wife or girlfriend Chinese for dinner.
There are two other basic rules to consider before you even start to work out what horse you are going to punt on.
Firstly, you must start with a specific bank. It may be $100 a week, or it may be $100 a month. But start with a specific amount, and use it only for punting and nothing else. I personally prefer to have an account with bookmakers or agenices, that way I know I am punting with my own money, and know exactly how much is in my bank at any time. You can throw $100 in the back of your wallet if you prefer, and use this only to punt with. I always find with this idea, you tend to spend it on other things if it is so readily accessible, or the missus finds it and buys a new set of towels with it! At least if the money is in an account with an agency, it is difficult to get out immediately, so you will tend to leave it there. And it is far easier to keep track of whether you are winning or losing, which brings us to point two.
Record Every Bet.
Record Every Bet.
The reason for this is that you will know exactly to the cent whether you are winning or losing. This is important for a number of reasons. If you don't record every bet, how do you really know if you are winning or losing? You don't, you're guessing.
How often do you see people tell you how much they won last Saturday? Very often. And how often do they tell you when they lose? Almost never !! Do not be afraid to tell people you lost on the punt. Feel free to tell them about the wins, but never be ashamned of telling them you had a loss. Why? Because if you do admit to losing occasionally, you will have plenty of credibility. People get sick and tired of hearing about the wins you had, and not about the losses. It is a well known fact to everyone that you cannot win every time you have a bet. So keep stringent records, so you know at a glance where you are. Include in these records, every bet, how much you bet, where the horse ran, what it paid, what was the return, and whether you won or lost on each indiviual bet. Then have a running total to tell you your current profit or loss, what your winning strike rate is, and your average winning price. You know after every bet you have how you are travelling.
How often do you see people tell you how much they won last Saturday? Very often. And how often do they tell you when they lose? Almost never !! Do not be afraid to tell people you lost on the punt. Feel free to tell them about the wins, but never be ashamned of telling them you had a loss. Why? Because if you do admit to losing occasionally, you will have plenty of credibility. People get sick and tired of hearing about the wins you had, and not about the losses. It is a well known fact to everyone that you cannot win every time you have a bet. So keep stringent records, so you know at a glance where you are. Include in these records, every bet, how much you bet, where the horse ran, what it paid, what was the return, and whether you won or lost on each indiviual bet. Then have a running total to tell you your current profit or loss, what your winning strike rate is, and your average winning price. You know after every bet you have how you are travelling.
Have a look at our Results page, and use something similar if you are not sure what to do. It is simple to follow and if you have any questions, feel free to send us an email. You can go into as much detail as you like. Split the bets up into states, or tracks, distances, track conditions, whatever you feel comfortable with.
Personally I record every bet, and close off at the end of every month with a running total. At the end of the racing year, August to July, I tally up a total for that racing year, as a profit or loss. So if you have a losing month, your stats should be able to tell you in what area you are falling down, and where to improve to get back into profit. Alternatively, a good profitable month will emphasise in what area you are punting well in.
So, four simple rules to get you started before you even have a bet:-
Only bet what you can afford to lose
Neither a borrower nor a mender be
Use a specific bank to punt with
Keep stringent records of every bet
If you start off your punting with these four goals, you will enjoy your punting much more and you will feel comfortable that you are betting within your means and know exactly whether you are winning or losing.
Good luck to our members with the selection for today. If you have any questions or would like further input in regards to this article, please dont hesitate to contact us by email on profselections@austarnet.com.au or mobile number: 0439 540538
Good Luck and Profitable Punting!
Good luck to our members with the selection for today. If you have any questions or would like further input in regards to this article, please dont hesitate to contact us by email on profselections@austarnet.com.au or mobile number: 0439 540538
Good Luck and Profitable Punting!
Saturday, November 25, 2006
Saturday 25 November 2006
Professional Analytical Selections Services provided information on only three horses today for their members today. The three horses selected were:-
Sandown R1 No3 Tango's Amigo $1.80
Randwick R5 No3 Beauty Watch $2.20
Kembla R7 No2 Glenbawn Star $5.40
All three saluted to the excitement of all PASS subscribers.
There are plenty more winners running around tomorrow, and our members will be kept informed on how to find a few of them.
Congratulations to all our members who are certainly enjoying their racing experience.
If you would like to join in on all the enjoyment, please send us an email to profselections@austarnet.com.au or call or text us on 0439 540 538 to organise your membership.
Sandown R1 No3 Tango's Amigo $1.80
Randwick R5 No3 Beauty Watch $2.20
Kembla R7 No2 Glenbawn Star $5.40
All three saluted to the excitement of all PASS subscribers.
There are plenty more winners running around tomorrow, and our members will be kept informed on how to find a few of them.
Congratulations to all our members who are certainly enjoying their racing experience.
If you would like to join in on all the enjoyment, please send us an email to profselections@austarnet.com.au or call or text us on 0439 540 538 to organise your membership.
Friday, November 24, 2006
Raheights
Humblest apologies, I did Raheights a major injustice. I named her a gelding when in fact she is a 4yo mare. I do apologise to the connections.
Raheights showed she is a stayer with potential last night at Canterbury. Young Patrick Murphy rode her a treat, as we predicted, just off the speed. But as they straightened, he could not get a clear run, and looked in a little trouble. Murphy however did not panic, he bided his time until the gap appeared, and drove Raheights through for a narrow but convincing victory. I wouldn't get too carried away with the win, a she was a weighted certainty last night with Murphy's claim, but I am sure Guy Walter has a little more improvement in her. Races such as the Christmas Cup & the Summer Cup may not be beyond her.
Thank you to all those who are following our selections, and for the encouraging emails we have received. We have been able to provide a couple of winners, but from now on, our pre race selections will be restricted to our loyal subscribers. Membership will be limited, so odds of the winners are not affected.
If you wish to become a member either email us here on profselections@austarnet.com.au or call us on 0439 540 538. We look forward to providing all our members with plenty of winners so the enjoyment of punting on horse racing is maximised.
There will be no selection for today, we'll give everyone a chance to organise membership whilst we work hard on finding a few winners for the weekend.
Good luck, and profitable punting.
Raheights showed she is a stayer with potential last night at Canterbury. Young Patrick Murphy rode her a treat, as we predicted, just off the speed. But as they straightened, he could not get a clear run, and looked in a little trouble. Murphy however did not panic, he bided his time until the gap appeared, and drove Raheights through for a narrow but convincing victory. I wouldn't get too carried away with the win, a she was a weighted certainty last night with Murphy's claim, but I am sure Guy Walter has a little more improvement in her. Races such as the Christmas Cup & the Summer Cup may not be beyond her.
Thank you to all those who are following our selections, and for the encouraging emails we have received. We have been able to provide a couple of winners, but from now on, our pre race selections will be restricted to our loyal subscribers. Membership will be limited, so odds of the winners are not affected.
If you wish to become a member either email us here on profselections@austarnet.com.au or call us on 0439 540 538. We look forward to providing all our members with plenty of winners so the enjoyment of punting on horse racing is maximised.
There will be no selection for today, we'll give everyone a chance to organise membership whilst we work hard on finding a few winners for the weekend.
Good luck, and profitable punting.
Thursday, November 23, 2006
First Canterbury Night Meeting of the Season
Always a most enjoyable evening at Canterbury Park on a Thursday night under the lights. Patrons are very close to the action and the crowds are usually comfortable. Hopefully the STC make a success of this season.
A very promising horse races tonight at Canterbury, but you will have to be extremely patient if you want to have a bet.
Canterbury R7 No6 Raheights
Raheights is a lightly raced 4yo gelding by Rahy in the Guy Walter stable. His form was only fair until he got to a distance that suited him. At his last two starts over 1600m he has absolutely donkey licked his opposition, showing acceleration not normally seen in a potential middle distance horse. The 1900m of tonights assignment will suit him down to the ground and drawn barrier 4 he should get a lovely in behind the speed. Apprentice Patrick Murphy has been on him in his last two wins, so he knows the horse well and always rides middle distance horses with patience. Don't be afraid to put money on his mounts, he will furnish into a top city jockey in years to come. Obviously Raheights is up a little in class tonight, however he is on the way up while most of his rivals have had plenty of chances already.
Patience and discipline will be required to wait until 10pm (DST) tonight to have a bet, But it will be worth the wait.
Good luck and profitable punting.
A very promising horse races tonight at Canterbury, but you will have to be extremely patient if you want to have a bet.
Canterbury R7 No6 Raheights
Raheights is a lightly raced 4yo gelding by Rahy in the Guy Walter stable. His form was only fair until he got to a distance that suited him. At his last two starts over 1600m he has absolutely donkey licked his opposition, showing acceleration not normally seen in a potential middle distance horse. The 1900m of tonights assignment will suit him down to the ground and drawn barrier 4 he should get a lovely in behind the speed. Apprentice Patrick Murphy has been on him in his last two wins, so he knows the horse well and always rides middle distance horses with patience. Don't be afraid to put money on his mounts, he will furnish into a top city jockey in years to come. Obviously Raheights is up a little in class tonight, however he is on the way up while most of his rivals have had plenty of chances already.
Patience and discipline will be required to wait until 10pm (DST) tonight to have a bet, But it will be worth the wait.
Good luck and profitable punting.
Wednesday, November 22, 2006
Ballarat Cup Day Summary
Ballarat played true to form today and favoured on pace on fence runners the majority of the day.
Kitz Lane was most impressive. He will be placed in our Horse To Follow file as he is a potential Group winner. He is by Pentire and a distance of 2400m is right up his alley, so he will be even better in his second and third preparations. Keep following him
Count To Zero defied the normal bias at Ballarat, sat wide, came from well back and won as he liked. Robbie Griffiths has this horse firing and a win in town is not too far away.
Danny Brereton rode a terrific race to win the Cup on Rubijon. Gave the horse a beautiful run in transit, manouvered a passage through the field on straightening, giving Rubijon every opportunity to show his best, which he did. Congratualations to Danny, the best ride won the Cup.
At Hawkesbury today, they ran the prelude to their big Cup meeting in early December. The race was won by the Guy Walter trained Lantwin, who led all the way to win comfortably. Although looking impressive, I doubt Lantwin can win the Cup or the upcoming Villiers Stakes at Royal Randwick. He was getting pretty tired at the end of the 1400m today, and 1600m will be a big test at Hawkesbury, and even more so at Randwick. Friday Creek would give all those who started today a quick short back and sides, I feel sure.
Hope all our readers had a little something on Kitz Lane, and we finished on the right side of the leger at days end.
Kitz Lane was most impressive. He will be placed in our Horse To Follow file as he is a potential Group winner. He is by Pentire and a distance of 2400m is right up his alley, so he will be even better in his second and third preparations. Keep following him
Count To Zero defied the normal bias at Ballarat, sat wide, came from well back and won as he liked. Robbie Griffiths has this horse firing and a win in town is not too far away.
Danny Brereton rode a terrific race to win the Cup on Rubijon. Gave the horse a beautiful run in transit, manouvered a passage through the field on straightening, giving Rubijon every opportunity to show his best, which he did. Congratualations to Danny, the best ride won the Cup.
At Hawkesbury today, they ran the prelude to their big Cup meeting in early December. The race was won by the Guy Walter trained Lantwin, who led all the way to win comfortably. Although looking impressive, I doubt Lantwin can win the Cup or the upcoming Villiers Stakes at Royal Randwick. He was getting pretty tired at the end of the 1400m today, and 1600m will be a big test at Hawkesbury, and even more so at Randwick. Friday Creek would give all those who started today a quick short back and sides, I feel sure.
Hope all our readers had a little something on Kitz Lane, and we finished on the right side of the leger at days end.
Tuesday, November 21, 2006
Ballarat Cup Day
Not the sort of meeting we like to get too enthused at here at PASS. Very strong and even fields with lots of chances in each and every race. We mainly concern ourselves with good things. However as a free introductory offer we will let everyone know about one running around at Dowling Forest tomorrow.
Ballarat R2 No7 Kitz Lane
Kitz Lane is a 4yo gelding by Pentire who has been given plenty of time to mature. He has only had one start and ran a creditable 3rd at Kyneton in a 1200m maiden. Creditable because at the 250m mark, he was almost pushed through the running rail by another runner and severely checked. He recovered, and had the audacity to charge home strongly and finish 3rd. No doubt Kitz Lane will be more suited by journeys longer than the 1400m of todays event and whatever he does he will improve on. He is trained by Lee Freedman, and owned in the same interests as great gallopers Gurners Lane, Paris Lane & De Gaulle Lane and will have the services of Craig Newitt to guide him. Very tough maiden field, with $15,0000 prizemoney, so it is not an easy race to win. But Kitz Lane will accomodate himself well in this race, and is also one to place in your black book to follow in the future no matter how he performs.
Good luck, and profitable punting.
Ballarat R2 No7 Kitz Lane
Kitz Lane is a 4yo gelding by Pentire who has been given plenty of time to mature. He has only had one start and ran a creditable 3rd at Kyneton in a 1200m maiden. Creditable because at the 250m mark, he was almost pushed through the running rail by another runner and severely checked. He recovered, and had the audacity to charge home strongly and finish 3rd. No doubt Kitz Lane will be more suited by journeys longer than the 1400m of todays event and whatever he does he will improve on. He is trained by Lee Freedman, and owned in the same interests as great gallopers Gurners Lane, Paris Lane & De Gaulle Lane and will have the services of Craig Newitt to guide him. Very tough maiden field, with $15,0000 prizemoney, so it is not an easy race to win. But Kitz Lane will accomodate himself well in this race, and is also one to place in your black book to follow in the future no matter how he performs.
Good luck, and profitable punting.
Welcome!
Welcome to our blog that accompanies the professional analytical information service we provide.
Our aim is to assist everyone to enjoy the horse racing industry, and the best way to achieve that enjoyment is to be a winner. We will provide accurate information so our members are able to profit from punting on thoroughbred horse racing in Australia.
We will not make outrageous claims of long priced winners.
We will not make claims of extraordinary exotic dividends.
We will not use outrageous advertising promotions to entice members.
We will not select more than one horse in a race.
We will not attempt to select the winner of every race.
What we will do, is provide to our members an analytical appraisal of selected races on a daily basis, that will help those members profit from punting. We will also provide regular articles so our members adopt the correct approach to their punting.
Over an 18 month period, our selections appeared on the Massie Lodge web site under Hot Tips. In this time the winning strike rate was well over 50% and the average winning price over $2.50. The actual profit on a level stake was over 11%. All simple facts, and this service was provided free to anyone who read the web site.
We look forward to plenty more winners for our members and plenty of profit in the long term.
Our aim is to assist everyone to enjoy the horse racing industry, and the best way to achieve that enjoyment is to be a winner. We will provide accurate information so our members are able to profit from punting on thoroughbred horse racing in Australia.
We will not make outrageous claims of long priced winners.
We will not make claims of extraordinary exotic dividends.
We will not use outrageous advertising promotions to entice members.
We will not select more than one horse in a race.
We will not attempt to select the winner of every race.
What we will do, is provide to our members an analytical appraisal of selected races on a daily basis, that will help those members profit from punting. We will also provide regular articles so our members adopt the correct approach to their punting.
Over an 18 month period, our selections appeared on the Massie Lodge web site under Hot Tips. In this time the winning strike rate was well over 50% and the average winning price over $2.50. The actual profit on a level stake was over 11%. All simple facts, and this service was provided free to anyone who read the web site.
We look forward to plenty more winners for our members and plenty of profit in the long term.
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